000 WTNT80 EGRR 081800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.10.2013 TROPICAL STORM NARDA ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 126.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142013 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2013 15.5N 126.6W WEAK 00UTC 09.10.2013 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 29.4N 79.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.10.2013 29.4N 79.0W WEAK 00UTC 10.10.2013 35.2N 75.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2013 35.6N 75.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2013 36.0N 75.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2013 36.8N 74.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2013 38.0N 72.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2013 38.0N 71.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2013 37.8N 69.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2013 36.7N 68.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2013 37.5N 65.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2013 37.1N 65.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 11.9N 30.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 10.10.2013 11.9N 30.4W WEAK 12UTC 10.10.2013 11.8N 32.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2013 12.2N 34.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2013 12.8N 36.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2013 13.1N 38.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2013 13.4N 40.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2013 13.8N 42.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2013 14.6N 44.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2013 15.5N 47.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2013 16.6N 48.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 14.0N 105.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.10.2013 14.0N 105.4W WEAK 00UTC 12.10.2013 14.3N 106.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2013 15.6N 108.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2013 16.4N 110.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2013 18.4N 111.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.10.2013 20.5N 111.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2013 23.2N 110.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 081704