000
WTNT80 EGRR 110600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 11.10.2013

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 12.4N  33.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.10.2013  12.4N  33.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.10.2013  12.1N  36.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.10.2013  12.2N  38.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.10.2013  12.4N  41.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2013  12.7N  43.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2013  13.5N  45.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2013  14.3N  46.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2013  15.5N  48.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2013  16.6N  49.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2013  17.4N  50.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2013  18.3N  51.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2013  19.1N  52.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2013  20.3N  53.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 16.0N 110.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.10.2013  16.0N 110.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.10.2013  16.6N 111.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.10.2013  17.6N 111.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2013  20.5N 111.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2013  22.5N 110.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.10.2013  24.7N 109.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.10.2013  24.9N 109.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
                   BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 110443