000
WTNT80 EGRR 111800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.10.2013

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 12.0N  36.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.10.2013  12.0N  36.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.10.2013  12.2N  39.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2013  12.2N  41.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2013  12.6N  43.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.10.2013  13.1N  44.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2013  14.1N  46.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2013  15.0N  47.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2013  15.8N  48.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.10.2013  16.2N  49.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2013  16.9N  50.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2013  17.3N  51.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2013  18.3N  52.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.10.2013  19.4N  54.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 16.2N 111.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.10.2013  16.1N 111.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.10.2013  17.5N 112.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2013  20.6N 111.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2013  21.8N 111.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2013  22.5N 110.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2013  24.6N 109.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.10.2013  25.8N 110.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.10.2013  26.0N 109.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 111709