000 WHXX01 KMIA 151854 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1854 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE OCTAVE (EP152013) 20131015 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 131015 1800 131016 0600 131016 1800 131017 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 26.7N 109.5W 27.9N 107.6W 28.8N 105.5W 29.3N 103.6W BAMD 26.7N 109.5W 29.8N 104.2W 33.6N 96.0W 37.0N 84.2W BAMM 26.7N 109.5W 28.7N 105.6W 31.1N 100.4W 33.6N 92.6W LBAR 26.7N 109.5W 29.0N 105.7W 32.5N 100.2W 36.3N 92.8W ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 131017 1800 131018 1800 131019 1800 131020 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 30.2N 102.3W 33.6N 99.0W 34.1N 93.2W 34.6N 85.0W BAMD 39.5N 72.4W 42.9N 50.1W 41.1N 29.0W 42.6N 12.2W BAMM 36.2N 83.5W 41.1N 64.3W 42.3N 41.4W 44.7N 22.0W LBAR 39.0N 84.0W 0.0N 0.0W 0.0N 0.0W 0.0N 0.0W ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 26.7N LONCUR = 109.5W DIRCUR = 55DEG SPDCUR = 14KT LATM12 = 25.1N LONM12 = 112.1W DIRM12 = 56DEG SPDM12 = 12KT LATM24 = 23.6N LONM24 = 113.4W WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 35KT CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN