000
WTNT80 EGRR 221800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.10.2013

        TROPICAL STORM LORENZO    ANALYSED POSITION : 29.4N  52.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.10.2013  29.4N  52.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 23.10.2013  29.2N  50.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2013  29.5N  49.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.10.2013  30.0N  49.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE RAYMOND    ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 102.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.10.2013  15.8N 102.1W   MODERATE
 00UTC 23.10.2013  15.6N 102.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.10.2013  15.1N 103.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2013  15.1N 104.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.10.2013  15.2N 106.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2013  15.3N 108.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2013  14.9N 110.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2013  14.4N 113.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.10.2013  13.7N 115.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2013  13.8N 117.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.10.2013  13.9N 119.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.10.2013  14.7N 120.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2013  15.6N 121.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 31.9N  77.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.10.2013  32.6N  75.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.10.2013  38.2N  66.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2013  43.4N  57.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.10.2013  52.7N  47.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2013  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 35.9N  69.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 24.10.2013  38.2N  66.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2013  43.4N  57.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.10.2013  52.7N  47.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2013  POST-TROPICAL


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 221703