000
WTNT80 EGRR 231800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 23.10.2013

        TROPICAL STORM LORENZO    ANALYSED POSITION : 29.4N  49.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.10.2013  29.4N  49.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.10.2013  29.6N  48.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.10.2013  30.6N  47.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND    ANALYSED POSITION : 15.5N 103.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.10.2013  15.5N 103.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.10.2013  15.5N 105.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2013  15.3N 106.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2013  15.6N 108.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2013  15.5N 109.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2013  15.3N 112.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2013  15.4N 114.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2013  15.0N 116.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.10.2013  15.3N 117.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.10.2013  15.6N 119.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2013  15.7N 121.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 34.5N  71.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.10.2013  34.5N  71.8W   MODERATE
 00UTC 24.10.2013  39.4N  65.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.10.2013  44.4N  55.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2013  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 33.9N  66.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.10.2013  33.9N  66.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 29.10.2013  35.9N  63.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 231701