000
WTNT80 EGRR 270600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 27.10.2013

        TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND    ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N 114.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172013

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.10.2013  13.0N 114.4W    STRONG
 12UTC 27.10.2013  14.0N 115.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.10.2013  14.7N 117.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2013  15.8N 118.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.10.2013  16.8N 119.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.10.2013  17.2N 119.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.10.2013  17.2N 119.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.10.2013  16.5N 119.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.10.2013        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 34.5N  55.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.10.2013  34.5N  55.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 30.10.2013  36.9N  50.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.10.2013  39.8N  37.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 31.10.2013  41.5N  28.6W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 01.11.2013  43.4N  20.4W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2013  44.6N  13.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2013  46.7N   6.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 270450