000 WHXX01 KMIA 141250 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1250 UTC THU AUG 14 2014 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KARINA (EP112014) 20140814 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 140814 1200 140815 0000 140815 1200 140816 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.2N 115.4W 17.9N 117.0W 18.9N 118.9W 20.2N 121.3W BAMD 17.2N 115.4W 17.6N 117.8W 18.2N 120.4W 19.0N 123.1W BAMM 17.2N 115.4W 17.8N 117.6W 18.5N 119.9W 19.4N 122.6W LBAR 17.2N 115.4W 17.5N 117.3W 18.4N 119.6W 19.4N 122.0W SHIP 55KTS 62KTS 67KTS 68KTS DSHP 55KTS 62KTS 67KTS 68KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 140816 1200 140817 1200 140818 1200 140819 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.1N 124.3W 22.5N 130.7W 22.9N 137.3W 21.9N 143.8W BAMD 19.6N 125.9W 20.5N 130.5W 20.4N 134.1W 20.3N 137.4W BAMM 20.0N 125.4W 20.9N 130.6W 20.9N 134.8W 20.4N 139.1W LBAR 20.5N 124.6W 22.6N 129.2W 24.0N 133.6W 20.2N 135.1W SHIP 70KTS 68KTS 63KTS 59KTS DSHP 70KTS 68KTS 63KTS 59KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 17.2N LONCUR = 115.4W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 9KT LATM12 = 17.2N LONM12 = 113.4W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 11KT LATM24 = 17.1N LONM24 = 110.6W WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 45KT CENPRS = 998MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 170NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 30NM RD34SE = 30NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 40NM $$ NNNN