000
WTNT80 EGRR 280600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 28.08.2014

             HURRICANE CRISTOBAL  ANALYSED POSITION : 33.4N  70.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.08.2014  33.4N  70.6W    STRONG
 12UTC 28.08.2014  36.3N  66.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.08.2014  39.6N  58.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.08.2014  44.0N  49.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.08.2014  48.4N  42.2W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.08.2014  51.0N  35.6W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 31.08.2014  POST-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM MARIE      ANALYSED POSITION : 23.2N 125.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.08.2014  23.2N 125.7W    STRONG
 12UTC 28.08.2014  24.9N 128.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.08.2014  26.7N 130.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.08.2014  28.7N 132.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 30.08.2014  29.8N 134.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.08.2014  30.9N 135.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.08.2014  30.7N 138.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2014  30.9N 138.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2014  30.7N 138.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2014  32.0N 138.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2014  31.1N 138.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2014  30.9N 138.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2014  31.0N 139.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 35.2N  25.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.09.2014  34.9N  25.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2014  33.5N  24.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2014  32.2N  24.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.09.2014  30.8N  24.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 280506