000
WTNT80 EGRR 021800

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.09.2014

        TROPICAL STORM NORBERT    ANALYSED POSITION : 18.8N 106.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.09.2014  18.8N 106.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.09.2014  20.1N 108.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2014  19.6N 109.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.09.2014  20.2N 111.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.09.2014  20.9N 112.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 05.09.2014  21.4N 113.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.09.2014  21.9N 113.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.09.2014  22.2N 114.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2014  22.2N 116.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.09.2014  22.5N 117.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.09.2014  22.3N 118.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.09.2014  22.5N 119.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.09.2014  22.9N 120.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

        TROPICAL STORM DOLLY      ANALYSED POSITION : 22.1N  95.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.09.2014  22.1N  95.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.09.2014  22.4N  96.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2014  22.1N  98.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 10.8N  90.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.09.2014  11.0N  90.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2014  11.7N  91.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.09.2014  12.4N  92.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 33.7N  75.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.09.2014  33.7N  75.7W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE
 EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 021714