000 WTNT80 EGRR 040600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 04.09.2014 HURRICANE NORBERT ANALYSED POSITION : 19.9N 109.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2014 19.9N 109.7W MODERATE 12UTC 04.09.2014 20.5N 110.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2014 21.6N 111.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2014 22.6N 112.3W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 06.09.2014 23.5N 113.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2014 23.9N 114.8W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2014 24.5N 116.2W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 07.09.2014 25.0N 117.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2014 25.7N 119.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2014 26.6N 120.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2014 27.7N 120.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.09.2014 28.5N 120.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2014 28.7N 119.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 12.6N 22.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2014 12.2N 23.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2014 14.0N 26.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2014 14.4N 29.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 07.09.2014 15.1N 31.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2014 15.9N 34.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2014 16.5N 37.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2014 16.7N 40.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2014 17.0N 43.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.09.2014 17.8N 46.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2014 19.1N 49.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 33.0N 78.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.09.2014 33.4N 78.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2014 34.1N 76.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2014 35.4N 75.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 13.1N 170.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.09.2014 13.1N 170.0W WEAK 12UTC 09.09.2014 13.5N 171.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2014 13.2N 172.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 12.0N 96.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2014 12.0N 96.8W WEAK 00UTC 10.09.2014 13.3N 97.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 040545