000 WTNT80 EGRR 081800 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 08.09.2014 TROPICAL STORM NORBERT ANALYSED POSITION : 27.5N 118.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142014 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.09.2014 27.5N 118.6W WEAK 00UTC 09.09.2014 28.2N 118.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.09.2014 28.8N 118.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2014 28.7N 117.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.09.2014 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 16.0N 104.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.09.2014 16.0N 104.6W WEAK 00UTC 11.09.2014 17.0N 105.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2014 17.5N 105.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2014 17.7N 106.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2014 17.2N 107.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2014 16.0N 107.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2014 15.9N 108.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2014 16.0N 109.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2014 17.4N 110.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 15.0N 32.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.09.2014 16.0N 33.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2014 17.6N 36.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2014 19.3N 37.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2014 19.9N 40.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2014 21.2N 41.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2014 22.1N 43.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2014 23.4N 45.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.09.2014 24.0N 47.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 14.7N 124.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.09.2014 14.7N 124.0W WEAK 00UTC 13.09.2014 15.7N 123.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2014 15.1N 122.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2014 14.5N 121.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2014 13.8N 120.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 12.2N 144.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.09.2014 13.0N 144.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 10.9N 92.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.09.2014 10.9N 92.9W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT THE FORMAT OF THIS BULLETIN WILL BE CHANGING SOON TO INCLUDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 081634