000
WTNT80 EGRR 180600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 18.09.2014

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ODILE      ANALYSED POSITION : 30.7N 111.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.09.2014  30.7N 111.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 18.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE EDOUARD    ANALYSED POSITION : 38.7N  49.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.09.2014  38.7N  49.3W    STRONG
 12UTC 18.09.2014  40.1N  43.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.09.2014  39.3N  39.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.09.2014  38.2N  37.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.09.2014  37.7N  37.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2014  37.3N  35.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2014  35.9N  34.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2014  34.1N  34.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2014  32.6N  35.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE POLO       ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 104.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172014

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.09.2014  16.4N 104.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 18.09.2014  17.2N 105.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2014  18.8N 106.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.09.2014  20.0N 107.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.09.2014  21.7N 108.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2014  23.0N 109.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2014  23.7N 110.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2014  23.7N 112.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2014  23.5N 112.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2014  23.2N 112.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 13.6N  22.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.09.2014  14.0N  23.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 21.09.2014  14.5N  23.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2014  15.4N  23.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2014  16.3N  24.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 180427