000
WHXX01 KMIA 161433
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1433 UTC THU OCT 16 2014
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP922014) 20141016 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        141016  1200   141017  0000   141017  1200   141018  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.0N  98.0W   14.0N  98.6W   15.2N  98.9W   16.5N  99.4W
BAMD    13.0N  98.0W   13.8N  99.2W   14.7N 100.0W   15.7N 100.4W
BAMM    13.0N  98.0W   14.0N  99.1W   15.1N  99.8W   16.2N 100.4W
LBAR    13.0N  98.0W   13.4N  98.8W   14.5N  99.7W   15.8N 100.2W
SHIP        25KTS          33KTS          42KTS          48KTS
DSHP        25KTS          33KTS          42KTS          33KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        141018  1200   141019  1200   141020  1200   141021  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.6N  99.7W   19.5N 100.4W   20.3N 100.7W   20.0N 101.3W
BAMD    16.7N 100.8W   18.9N 101.2W   20.7N 100.6W   22.6N  99.1W
BAMM    17.1N 100.9W   19.2N 101.3W   20.2N 101.0W   20.8N 100.7W
LBAR    17.2N 100.5W   19.9N 100.6W   21.5N  99.9W   23.7N  99.2W
SHIP        51KTS          47KTS          46KTS          49KTS
DSHP        29KTS          27KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.0N LONCUR =  98.0W DIRCUR =   0DEG SPDCUR =   0KT
LATM12 =  10.5N LONM12 =  98.5W DIRM12 = 257DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  11.0N LONM24 =  96.8W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =  100NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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