000
WHXX01 KMIA 041846
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1846 UTC TUE NOV 4 2014
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE VANCE (EP212014) 20141104 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        141104  1800   141105  0600   141105  1800   141106  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.9N 108.9W   21.4N 108.5W   22.7N 107.0W   24.2N 106.0W
BAMD    19.9N 108.9W   24.5N 106.3W   29.4N 102.7W   32.3N  99.7W
BAMM    19.9N 108.9W   23.2N 107.2W   26.8N 105.0W   29.1N 103.9W
LBAR    19.9N 108.9W   23.3N 106.4W   27.9N 102.7W   32.3N  98.3W
SHIP        60KTS          34KTS          16KTS           0KTS
DSHP        60KTS          34KTS          18KTS           0KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        141106  1800   141107  1800   141108  1800   141109  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    25.1N 105.8W   25.8N 106.5W   24.6N 104.8W   24.0N 106.3W
BAMD    32.6N  95.3W   29.4N  78.9W   33.8N  62.5W   40.8N  44.6W
BAMM    29.7N 104.6W   28.6N 105.3W   25.4N 101.6W   22.2N  99.5W
LBAR    33.0N  91.0W   28.3N  80.0W    0.0N   0.0W    0.0N   0.0W
SHIP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  19.9N LONCUR = 108.9W DIRCUR =  35DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =  17.9N LONM12 = 110.3W DIRM12 =  26DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  15.8N LONM24 = 110.9W
WNDCUR =   60KT RMAXWD =   10NM WNDM12 =   90KT
CENPRS =  983MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  160NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =   80NM RD34SW =   40NM RD34NW =  50NM
 
$$
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