000
WTNT80 EGRR 071617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.11.2014

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 15.2N 111.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.11.2014  15.2N 111.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.11.2014  16.6N 111.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.11.2014  18.0N 110.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.11.2014  20.1N 108.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.11.2014  20.9N 106.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.11.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 :  8.1N  88.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.11.2014   8.1N  88.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.11.2014   8.0N  88.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.11.2014   8.0N  88.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.11.2014   7.9N  89.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2014        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 071617