000
WTNT80 EGRR 131617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 13.06.2015

             HURRICANE CARLOS     ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 100.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.06.2015  14.7N 100.2W   MODERATE
 00UTC 14.06.2015  15.2N 100.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.06.2015  15.7N 101.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.06.2015  15.8N 102.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.06.2015  16.1N 104.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.06.2015  16.7N 105.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.06.2015  17.5N 106.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.06.2015  18.6N 108.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.06.2015  19.6N 108.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.06.2015  20.4N 109.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.06.2015  20.7N 109.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.06.2015  21.2N 109.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.06.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 25.6N  95.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.06.2015  26.0N  95.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 17.06.2015  26.7N  96.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.06.2015  27.9N  97.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.06.2015  28.1N  98.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.06.2015  29.0N  99.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.06.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 131617