000 WTNT80 EGRR 260417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 26.07.2015 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 36.5N 50.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.07.2015 36.5N 50.4W WEAK 00UTC 28.07.2015 38.2N 46.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.07.2015 38.6N 43.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.07.2015 38.5N 41.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.07.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 34.1N 67.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.07.2015 34.1N 67.7W WEAK 00UTC 29.07.2015 34.3N 64.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.07.2015 35.5N 61.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.07.2015 38.1N 59.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.07.2015 41.7N 57.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.07.2015 45.1N 58.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2015 46.6N 60.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 10.7N 121.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.07.2015 11.2N 122.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.07.2015 10.9N 126.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.07.2015 11.5N 128.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2015 12.0N 131.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2015 12.7N 135.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 31.1N 79.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.07.2015 31.1N 79.5W WEAK 00UTC 31.07.2015 30.9N 78.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.07.2015 31.9N 76.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.08.2015 32.6N 76.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 260417