000
WTNT80 EGRR 030417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.08.2015

             HURRICANE GUILLERMO  ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 145.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.08.2015  15.6N 145.4W   MODERATE
 12UTC 03.08.2015  16.2N 147.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2015  17.0N 148.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2015  17.5N 150.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2015  18.4N 152.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2015  19.6N 154.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2015  19.8N 155.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2015  22.0N 158.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2015  22.9N 161.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.08.2015  24.2N 163.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 34.2N  75.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.08.2015  35.1N  73.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.08.2015  37.3N  67.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.08.2015  42.1N  59.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 07.08.2015  48.9N  50.6W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.08.2015  53.3N  45.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2015  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.7N 135.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.08.2015  14.0N 136.2W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.08.2015  14.9N 138.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2015  15.8N 141.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2015  16.3N 143.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2015  17.0N 146.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 35.0N  75.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.08.2015  35.0N  75.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.08.2015  36.4N  71.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 030417