000
WHXX01 KWBC 251836
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1836 UTC TUE AUG 25 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIKA (AL052015) 20150825 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        150825  1800   150826  0600   150826  1800   150827  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.3N  51.9W   16.3N  55.0W   17.3N  58.1W   18.2N  61.1W
BAMD    15.3N  51.9W   15.9N  54.3W   16.5N  56.4W   16.9N  58.3W
BAMM    15.3N  51.9W   15.9N  54.8W   16.6N  57.6W   17.2N  60.2W
LBAR    15.3N  51.9W   15.8N  54.8W   16.4N  57.7W   16.9N  60.6W
SHIP        40KTS          41KTS          42KTS          43KTS
DSHP        40KTS          41KTS          42KTS          43KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        150827  1800   150828  1800   150829  1800   150830  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.1N  64.2W   21.2N  70.5W   23.0N  76.6W   25.0N  81.5W
BAMD    17.5N  60.3W   18.4N  64.6W   18.7N  68.9W   18.8N  73.7W
BAMM    18.0N  62.8W   19.9N  68.4W   21.6N  73.9W   23.5N  78.9W
LBAR    17.8N  63.5W   19.7N  68.7W   21.2N  72.9W   23.7N  77.4W
SHIP        45KTS          45KTS          47KTS          54KTS
DSHP        45KTS          45KTS          47KTS          54KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.3N LONCUR =  51.9W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  17KT
LATM12 =  14.7N LONM12 =  48.6W DIRM12 = 281DEG SPDM12 =  16KT
LATM24 =  14.3N LONM24 =  45.1W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   40KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   70NM RD34SE =   70NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  70NM
 
$$
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