000
WHXX01 KMIA 141252
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1252 UTC MON SEP 14 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP902015) 20150914 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        150914  1200   150915  0000   150915  1200   150916  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.3N 109.0W   15.9N 110.0W   16.3N 111.4W   16.8N 113.0W
BAMD    15.3N 109.0W   16.0N 110.1W   16.7N 111.4W   17.5N 113.1W
BAMM    15.3N 109.0W   16.1N 110.1W   16.8N 111.5W   17.6N 113.2W
LBAR    15.3N 109.0W   16.2N 110.1W   17.2N 111.6W   18.6N 113.3W
SHIP        20KTS          21KTS          24KTS          29KTS
DSHP        20KTS          21KTS          24KTS          29KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        150916  1200   150917  1200   150918  1200   150919  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.0N 114.7W   17.3N 118.3W   16.9N 121.4W   15.4N 124.3W
BAMD    18.4N 115.0W   21.0N 118.1W   23.2N 118.0W   25.1N 115.8W
BAMM    18.3N 115.1W   20.1N 118.6W   21.0N 120.6W   20.9N 121.6W
LBAR    20.0N 115.6W   24.8N 117.6W   30.4N 114.4W   36.0N 108.0W
SHIP        33KTS          36KTS          31KTS          28KTS
DSHP        33KTS          36KTS          31KTS          28KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.3N LONCUR = 109.0W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  14.5N LONM12 = 108.0W DIRM12 = 307DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  13.7N LONM24 = 106.8W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =  100NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN