000 WTNT80 EGRR 080417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.10.2015 TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN ANALYSED POSITION : 42.2N 39.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2015 42.2N 39.1W STRONG 12UTC 08.10.2015 42.6N 30.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2015 43.9N 23.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2015 43.9N 19.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2015 43.6N 15.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2015 43.6N 13.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2015 43.1N 10.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE OHO ANALYSED POSITION : 28.5N 145.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP072015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.10.2015 28.5N 145.5W INTENSE 12UTC 08.10.2015 34.0N 142.3W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 09.10.2015 42.0N 135.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 10.8N 137.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.10.2015 10.8N 137.5W WEAK 00UTC 12.10.2015 11.3N 137.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2015 12.3N 138.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2015 12.7N 138.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2015 13.7N 139.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2015 14.9N 139.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 30.9N 78.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2015 30.9N 78.9W WEAK 12UTC 12.10.2015 32.4N 79.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2015 34.4N 79.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 080417