000
WHXX01 KMIA 211846
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1846 UTC WED OCT 21 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151021 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151021  1800   151022  0600   151022  1800   151023  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.9N  98.3W   13.8N 100.2W   15.2N 102.0W   16.6N 103.4W
BAMD    12.9N  98.3W   13.5N 100.5W   14.6N 102.3W   16.2N 103.6W
BAMM    12.9N  98.3W   13.7N 100.6W   14.7N 102.6W   16.0N 104.1W
LBAR    12.9N  98.3W   13.5N 100.5W   14.4N 102.8W   15.6N 104.9W
SHIP        35KTS          43KTS          56KTS          71KTS
DSHP        35KTS          43KTS          56KTS          71KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151023  1800   151024  1800   151025  1800   151026  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.4N 104.1W   22.0N 103.7W   22.4N 104.0W   23.3N 105.1W
BAMD    18.5N 104.3W   24.3N 101.6W   27.9N  95.0W   29.5N  87.3W
BAMM    17.7N 104.8W   21.4N 103.2W   22.8N 101.8W   24.5N  99.7W
LBAR    16.9N 106.6W   21.1N 107.7W   26.7N 106.3W   31.4N 100.7W
SHIP        72KTS          51KTS          46KTS          46KTS
DSHP        72KTS          33KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.9N LONCUR =  98.3W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =  13.0N LONM12 =  95.8W DIRM12 = 261DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  13.3N LONM24 =  94.6W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =  120NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
NNNN