000 WHXX01 KMIA 240636 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0636 UTC SAT OCT 24 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151024 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151024 0600 151024 1800 151025 0600 151025 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.4N 104.0W 23.3N 103.1W 23.3N 102.6W 23.0N 103.0W BAMD 21.4N 104.0W 25.1N 101.4W 28.3N 98.5W 31.3N 95.6W BAMM 21.4N 104.0W 24.1N 102.2W 25.8N 100.4W 26.7N 98.2W LBAR 21.4N 104.0W 24.8N 101.8W 28.6N 99.5W 31.7N 96.8W SHIP 85KTS 43KTS 29KTS 30KTS DSHP 85KTS 45KTS 33KTS 29KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151026 0600 151027 0600 151028 0600 151029 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 22.9N 103.6W 24.7N 104.3W 25.6N 103.2W 27.2N 102.3W BAMD 33.8N 92.9W 38.8N 85.5W 43.1N 70.1W 39.2N 45.2W BAMM 27.4N 95.1W 30.6N 89.0W 38.0N 83.1W 47.2N 75.7W LBAR 33.8N 92.6W 35.7N 81.3W 0.0N 0.0W 0.0N 0.0W SHIP 29KTS 25KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 21.4N LONCUR = 104.0W DIRCUR = 20DEG SPDCUR = 18KT LATM12 = 18.2N LONM12 = 105.3W DIRM12 = 15DEG SPDM12 = 12KT LATM24 = 16.5N LONM24 = 105.4W WNDCUR = 85KT RMAXWD = 15NM WNDM12 = 175KT CENPRS = 970MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 80NM RD34SE = 250NM RD34SW = 60NM RD34NW = 80NM $$ NNNN