000 WTNT80 EGRR 260418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 26.10.2015 HURRICANE OLAF ANALYSED POSITION : 23.0N 143.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.10.2015 23.0N 143.0W STRONG 12UTC 26.10.2015 24.9N 141.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.10.2015 26.4N 137.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.10.2015 27.7N 135.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 28.10.2015 28.4N 132.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.10.2015 27.8N 130.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.10.2015 25.9N 130.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 30.2N 90.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.10.2015 30.2N 90.8W WEAK 12UTC 27.10.2015 31.6N 90.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2015 34.8N 90.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2015 41.5N 87.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.10.2015 47.2N 85.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 29.10.2015 48.9N 84.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.0N 129.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.10.2015 13.4N 131.1W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 31.10.2015 13.0N 131.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.10.2015 12.8N 133.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.11.2015 13.0N 134.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 260417