000
WTNT80 EGRR 100417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.12.2015

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :  3.1N 147.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.12.2015   3.1N 147.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.12.2015   3.5N 147.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.12.2015   4.1N 148.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.12.2015   4.5N 149.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.12.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 30.9N  39.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.12.2015  30.9N  39.4W   MODERATE
 12UTC 13.12.2015  31.5N  33.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.12.2015  34.0N  29.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.12.2015  36.1N  25.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.12.2015  41.1N  21.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.12.2015  46.3N  16.2W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 16.12.2015  48.9N   8.9W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 100417