000 WHXX01 KMIA 201846 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1846 UTC SAT AUG 20 2016 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KAY (EP122016) 20160820 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 160820 1800 160821 0600 160821 1800 160822 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.1N 112.9W 20.6N 113.4W 21.3N 114.2W 22.1N 114.9W BAMD 20.1N 112.9W 20.8N 113.9W 21.5N 115.0W 22.1N 116.1W BAMM 20.1N 112.9W 20.9N 113.7W 21.6N 114.7W 22.4N 115.7W LBAR 20.1N 112.9W 21.0N 113.4W 22.0N 114.4W 23.1N 115.4W SHIP 45KTS 47KTS 47KTS 47KTS DSHP 45KTS 47KTS 47KTS 47KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 160822 1800 160823 1800 160824 1800 160825 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 23.0N 115.7W 25.1N 116.7W 25.5N 116.5W 24.2N 115.9W BAMD 22.7N 117.5W 23.9N 120.8W 25.1N 124.5W 25.6N 126.2W BAMM 22.9N 117.0W 24.4N 119.9W 25.1N 122.7W 25.0N 124.3W LBAR 24.4N 116.5W 28.3N 117.1W 33.3N 114.9W 37.3N 107.1W SHIP 47KTS 35KTS 24KTS 20KTS DSHP 47KTS 35KTS 24KTS 20KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 20.1N LONCUR = 112.9W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR = 5KT LATM12 = 19.4N LONM12 = 112.4W DIRM12 = 343DEG SPDM12 = 5KT LATM24 = 18.6N LONM24 = 111.6W WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 45KT CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 140NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 50NM RD34NW = 40NM $$ NNNN