000 WHXX01 KMIA 210648 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0648 UTC SUN AUG 21 2016 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KAY (EP122016) 20160821 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 160821 0600 160821 1800 160822 0600 160822 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.8N 113.8W 21.4N 114.8W 22.0N 115.7W 22.7N 116.7W BAMD 20.8N 113.8W 21.5N 114.9W 22.1N 115.8W 22.6N 117.0W BAMM 20.8N 113.8W 21.5N 114.9W 22.3N 115.8W 22.8N 117.0W LBAR 20.8N 113.8W 21.6N 114.6W 22.8N 115.6W 24.1N 116.9W SHIP 40KTS 40KTS 39KTS 38KTS DSHP 40KTS 40KTS 39KTS 38KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 160823 0600 160824 0600 160825 0600 160826 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 23.6N 117.6W 24.8N 119.0W 24.8N 119.6W 24.3N 118.6W BAMD 23.0N 118.4W 23.2N 122.2W 23.5N 126.9W 24.1N 128.8W BAMM 23.4N 118.4W 24.2N 121.2W 24.3N 124.4W 24.3N 125.6W LBAR 25.6N 118.0W 29.5N 118.0W 34.0N 115.1W 39.7N 106.2W SHIP 36KTS 26KTS 16KTS 17KTS DSHP 36KTS 26KTS 16KTS 17KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 20.8N LONCUR = 113.8W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR = 6KT LATM12 = 20.1N LONM12 = 112.8W DIRM12 = 307DEG SPDM12 = 4KT LATM24 = 19.4N LONM24 = 112.4W WNDCUR = 40KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 45KT CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 40NM RD34SE = 30NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN