000 WTNT80 EGRR 300418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.08.2016 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08L ANALYSED POSITION : 33.5N 73.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.08.2016 33.5N 73.8W WEAK 12UTC 30.08.2016 34.1N 74.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2016 34.5N 74.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 35.4N 73.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 36.8N 70.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 38.7N 65.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.09.2016 41.1N 58.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 43.8N 51.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 45.7N 44.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 47.8N 38.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2016 49.8N 32.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2016 53.2N 29.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2016 54.5N 30.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY HURRICANE GASTON ANALYSED POSITION : 31.4N 55.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.08.2016 31.4N 55.1W MODERATE 12UTC 30.08.2016 32.0N 53.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2016 32.6N 52.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2016 33.9N 50.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2016 35.8N 46.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2016 37.9N 41.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 38.6N 36.8W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 02.09.2016 38.3N 33.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 38.6N 30.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.09.2016 39.9N 28.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LESTER ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 131.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.08.2016 18.0N 131.0W MODERATE 12UTC 30.08.2016 18.2N 133.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2016 18.4N 135.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 18.4N 138.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 18.4N 140.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 18.4N 142.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 18.6N 144.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 18.9N 147.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2016 19.2N 149.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 19.7N 152.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 20.3N 154.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 21.1N 157.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 21.6N 159.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE MADELINE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 145.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.08.2016 18.9N 145.7W STRONG 12UTC 30.08.2016 19.4N 147.4W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 31.08.2016 19.4N 149.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2016 18.8N 150.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.09.2016 18.3N 152.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 17.7N 154.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 17.7N 155.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 18.4N 155.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09L ANALYSED POSITION : 23.2N 85.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092016 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.08.2016 23.2N 85.1W WEAK 12UTC 30.08.2016 24.1N 87.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2016 24.2N 87.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2016 25.4N 87.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2016 25.7N 87.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2016 27.3N 86.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2016 28.5N 83.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2016 30.6N 80.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 32.0N 76.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 33.4N 72.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2016 34.7N 69.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 35.8N 67.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 36.5N 65.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 33.0N 77.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2016 33.0N 77.1W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2016 34.2N 73.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.09.2016 35.5N 67.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.09.2016 36.9N 61.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2016 38.6N 53.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2016 40.1N 43.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2016 42.0N 33.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2016 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 21.1N 165.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2016 21.1N 165.0W WEAK 12UTC 04.09.2016 22.2N 167.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2016 23.5N 170.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 19.6N 108.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.09.2016 20.2N 109.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2016 21.0N 110.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 13.6N 117.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.09.2016 13.6N 117.4W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 300418