000
WHXX01 KWBC 041236
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1236 UTC TUE OCT 4 2016
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL982016) 20161004 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        161004  1200   161005  0000   161005  1200   161006  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    23.5N  60.0W   24.6N  61.7W   26.1N  63.6W   27.8N  65.5W
BAMD    23.5N  60.0W   23.7N  60.7W   23.9N  61.8W   24.2N  63.3W
BAMM    23.5N  60.0W   24.2N  61.4W   25.2N  63.1W   26.4N  64.9W
LBAR    23.5N  60.0W   24.4N  60.8W   25.1N  61.8W   25.9N  62.9W
SHIP        40KTS          44KTS          43KTS          41KTS
DSHP        40KTS          44KTS          43KTS          41KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        161006  1200   161007  1200   161008  1200   161009  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    29.4N  66.9W   31.0N  68.1W   33.0N  70.5W   39.2N  71.0W
BAMD    24.4N  64.8W   24.5N  68.1W   24.2N  71.4W   24.1N  73.7W
BAMM    27.7N  66.5W   29.3N  67.9W   29.7N  68.8W   31.8N  67.4W
LBAR    26.6N  63.9W   27.1N  64.8W   26.7N  65.6W   27.5N  67.1W
SHIP        39KTS          29KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        39KTS          29KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  23.5N LONCUR =  60.0W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  23.0N LONM12 =  59.2W DIRM12 = 299DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  22.6N LONM24 =  58.1W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   80NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =  110NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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