000
WHXX01 KMIA 151158
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1158 UTC SAT OCT 15 2016
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992016) 20161015 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        161015  1200   161016  0000   161016  1200   161017  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.5N 121.0W   15.0N 122.7W   15.2N 124.4W   15.3N 126.1W
BAMD    14.5N 121.0W   14.8N 122.4W   15.1N 123.6W   15.3N 124.8W
BAMM    14.5N 121.0W   14.8N 122.4W   14.9N 123.7W   15.0N 125.0W
LBAR    14.5N 121.0W   14.8N 122.3W   15.1N 123.5W   15.2N 124.8W
SHIP        25KTS          28KTS          31KTS          33KTS
DSHP        25KTS          28KTS          31KTS          33KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        161017  1200   161018  1200   161019  1200   161020  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.3N 127.9W   15.2N 131.8W   15.2N 136.2W   15.1N 140.7W
BAMD    15.5N 125.8W   16.1N 127.9W   16.8N 129.8W   17.3N 131.2W
BAMM    15.1N 126.3W   15.4N 129.1W   15.8N 132.1W   16.2N 134.9W
LBAR    15.2N 126.3W   15.5N 129.7W   16.3N 133.7W   17.8N 136.9W
SHIP        35KTS          30KTS          17KTS           0KTS
DSHP        35KTS          30KTS          17KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.5N LONCUR = 121.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  14.4N LONM12 = 119.6W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  14.3N LONM24 = 118.2W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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