000
WHXX01 KMIA 151732
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1732 UTC SAT OCT 15 2016
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992016) 20161015 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        161015  1800   161016  0600   161016  1800   161017  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.2N 121.1W   15.8N 122.6W   16.3N 124.2W   16.7N 125.9W
BAMD    15.2N 121.1W   15.5N 122.3W   15.9N 123.4W   16.2N 124.4W
BAMM    15.2N 121.1W   15.5N 122.3W   15.8N 123.7W   16.1N 125.0W
LBAR    15.2N 121.1W   15.7N 121.8W   15.9N 122.7W   16.1N 123.6W
SHIP        25KTS          27KTS          27KTS          28KTS
DSHP        25KTS          27KTS          27KTS          28KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        161017  1800   161018  1800   161019  1800   161020  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.0N 127.7W   17.5N 132.0W   17.8N 136.8W   17.9N 141.5W
BAMD    16.5N 125.4W   17.3N 127.2W   18.4N 128.6W   19.2N 129.6W
BAMM    16.4N 126.4W   16.9N 129.1W   17.5N 131.8W   18.2N 134.2W
LBAR    16.1N 125.0W   16.7N 128.1W   17.8N 132.1W   19.4N 135.7W
SHIP        27KTS          19KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        27KTS          19KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.2N LONCUR = 121.1W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  14.6N LONM12 = 120.4W DIRM12 = 293DEG SPDM12 =   5KT
LATM24 =  14.4N LONM24 = 119.0W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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