000 WHXX01 KMIA 171304 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1304 UTC MON OCT 17 2016 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992016) 20161017 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 161017 1200 161018 0000 161018 1200 161019 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.4N 130.1W 14.3N 132.1W 14.2N 134.0W 14.2N 136.0W BAMD 14.4N 130.1W 14.7N 131.2W 15.1N 132.2W 15.6N 133.3W BAMM 14.4N 130.1W 14.3N 131.4W 14.3N 132.8W 14.5N 134.1W LBAR 14.4N 130.1W 14.3N 131.7W 14.4N 133.2W 14.5N 134.8W SHIP 25KTS 23KTS 24KTS 23KTS DSHP 25KTS 23KTS 24KTS 23KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 161019 1200 161020 1200 161021 1200 161022 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.0N 138.1W 13.5N 142.2W 12.9N 145.3W 12.1N 146.9W BAMD 16.0N 134.1W 17.1N 135.2W 19.5N 135.0W 24.4N 132.0W BAMM 14.7N 135.4W 15.2N 138.0W 15.7N 139.2W 16.9N 138.0W LBAR 14.9N 136.7W 15.9N 140.4W 16.9N 142.7W 19.0N 143.0W SHIP 22KTS 18KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 22KTS 18KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.4N LONCUR = 130.1W DIRCUR = 260DEG SPDCUR = 12KT LATM12 = 15.3N LONM12 = 128.0W DIRM12 = 242DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 15.6N LONM24 = 125.0W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN