000
WTNT80 EGRR 210418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.10.2016

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 26.8N  74.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.10.2016  26.8N  74.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 21.10.2016  29.6N  72.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.10.2016  32.6N  71.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2016  37.5N  67.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.10.2016  45.5N  61.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 13.0N 113.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.10.2016  13.0N 113.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.10.2016  13.3N 113.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2016  13.5N 113.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2016  14.2N 113.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2016  14.7N 113.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2016  15.4N 114.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2016  15.9N 115.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2016  15.7N 116.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 11.3N 128.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.10.2016  11.3N 128.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 23.10.2016  12.6N 128.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2016  13.0N 127.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2016  14.4N 127.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 13.9N 106.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.10.2016  13.9N 106.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 23.10.2016  14.9N 108.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2016  16.4N 109.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.10.2016  17.7N 110.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.10.2016  18.8N 113.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2016  20.1N 115.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2016  21.2N 117.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.10.2016  22.3N 117.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2016  22.8N 118.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 210418