000
WTNT80 EGRR 110418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 11.11.2016

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 17.0N 108.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.11.2016  17.2N 108.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2016  18.6N 108.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2016  19.2N 108.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2016  19.6N 109.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2016  19.6N 109.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.11.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 33.6N  78.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.11.2016  33.6N  78.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.11.2016  35.6N  75.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2016  38.1N  74.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2016  40.6N  73.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2016        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 15.7N  77.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.11.2016  16.7N  76.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 110418