000 WHXX01 KWBC 151732 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1732 UTC TUE NOV 15 2016 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902016) 20161115 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 161115 1800 161116 0600 161116 1800 161117 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 11.9N 78.0W 12.4N 78.8W 12.9N 79.5W 13.1N 80.2W BAMD 11.9N 78.0W 12.7N 78.8W 13.8N 78.9W 14.9N 78.5W BAMM 11.9N 78.0W 12.6N 78.8W 13.3N 79.2W 13.8N 79.3W LBAR 11.9N 78.0W 12.6N 78.7W 13.8N 79.4W 15.2N 79.7W SHIP 20KTS 25KTS 31KTS 37KTS DSHP 20KTS 25KTS 31KTS 37KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 161117 1800 161118 1800 161119 1800 161120 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.0N 81.0W 12.6N 82.9W 11.2N 84.7W 8.2N 87.0W BAMD 16.1N 78.1W 20.0N 76.6W 22.9N 69.2W 22.4N 58.2W BAMM 14.0N 79.7W 14.7N 80.9W 14.5N 82.2W 12.5N 84.4W LBAR 17.0N 80.0W 21.5N 79.6W 25.2N 77.0W 27.6N 68.1W SHIP 42KTS 49KTS 56KTS 70KTS DSHP 42KTS 49KTS 56KTS 43KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 11.9N LONCUR = 78.0W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR = 5KT LATM12 = 11.5N LONM12 = 77.0W DIRM12 = 287DEG SPDM12 = 5KT LATM24 = 11.3N LONM24 = 76.0W WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 100NM WNDM12 = 20KT CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN