000
WTNT80 EGRR 311618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 31.07.2017

        TROPICAL STORM EMILY      ANALYSED POSITION : 27.5N  83.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 31.07.2017  27.5N  83.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 01.08.2017  28.0N  81.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.08.2017  28.3N  80.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.08.2017  29.4N  79.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2017  31.5N  76.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2017  32.8N  74.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2017  34.9N  70.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.08.2017  36.8N  66.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2017  38.3N  62.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2017  39.8N  60.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2017  40.6N  59.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2017  41.1N  58.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2017  41.5N  56.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM IRWIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 21.1N 127.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 31.07.2017  21.1N 127.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 01.08.2017  23.0N 128.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.08.2017  24.6N 128.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.08.2017  25.8N 129.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.08.2017  26.6N 130.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.08.2017  26.9N 130.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.08.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.4N 104.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.08.2017  13.4N 104.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 04.08.2017  14.9N 106.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.08.2017  16.2N 109.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2017  17.8N 111.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2017  19.1N 113.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2017  20.0N 114.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2017  20.5N 115.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 311618