000
WTNT80 EGRR 201618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 20.08.2017

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY     ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N  75.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.08.2017  14.4N  75.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 21.08.2017  14.8N  78.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2017  15.8N  82.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2017  17.2N  85.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2017  18.7N  88.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE KENNETH    ANALYSED POSITION : 16.1N 126.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.08.2017  16.1N 126.8W   MODERATE
 00UTC 21.08.2017  16.7N 129.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2017  17.3N 131.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2017  18.3N 133.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2017  19.6N 134.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.08.2017  21.3N 135.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2017  23.0N 135.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.08.2017  24.7N 136.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2017  26.4N 137.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2017  28.0N 137.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.08.2017  29.0N 136.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.08.2017  29.9N 136.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2017  30.3N 136.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 26.6N  78.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.08.2017  26.6N  78.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 23.08.2017  27.1N  79.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.08.2017  27.7N  79.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2017  28.7N  79.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.08.2017  30.0N  78.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.08.2017  31.6N  76.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.08.2017  33.4N  75.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.08.2017  35.6N  73.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2017  37.5N  71.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 19.3N  92.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.08.2017  19.7N  93.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2017  20.0N  93.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2017  20.8N  94.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.08.2017  21.6N  96.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.08.2017  22.7N  97.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.08.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 201618