000
WTNT80 EGRR 111603

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.10.2017

        TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 30.0N  36.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172017

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.10.2017  30.0N  36.6W   MODERATE
 00UTC 12.10.2017  30.0N  35.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2017  30.8N  36.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2017  31.2N  35.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2017  32.1N  34.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2017  33.3N  31.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.10.2017  34.9N  27.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 15.10.2017  36.9N  22.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2017  41.1N  17.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2017  45.7N  15.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2017  50.5N  11.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.10.2017  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 15.6N 121.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.10.2017  15.6N 121.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 16.10.2017  17.5N 124.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2017  19.2N 126.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.10.2017  21.3N 128.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 111603