000
WTNT80 EGRR 270403

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 27.10.2017

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 10.8N  88.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.10.2017  10.8N  88.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 27.10.2017  11.2N  88.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.10.2017  12.8N  87.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 21.9N  82.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.10.2017  23.8N  81.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 29.10.2017  26.2N  78.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2017  31.2N  73.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.10.2017  38.6N  67.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.10.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 270403