000
WTNT80 EGRR 140403

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.11.2017

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 29.0N  63.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.11.2017  29.0N  62.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 16.11.2017  32.6N  54.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.11.2017  35.6N  48.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.11.2017  36.3N  43.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2017  37.8N  39.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.11.2017  39.1N  37.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2017  41.1N  36.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 40.8N  65.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.11.2017  44.4N  64.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.11.2017  45.0N  63.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.11.2017  44.5N  59.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.11.2017        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 140403