000
WTNT80 EGRR 020405

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.07.2018

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA     ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 124.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.07.2018  19.5N 124.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.07.2018  20.9N 126.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.07.2018  22.0N 129.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.07.2018  22.5N 131.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2018  22.2N 134.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2018  21.8N 137.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM FABIO      ANALYSED POSITION : 12.2N 109.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.07.2018  12.2N 109.0W   MODERATE
 12UTC 02.07.2018  12.7N 111.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.07.2018  14.0N 113.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.07.2018  15.0N 116.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.07.2018  15.9N 118.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2018  17.0N 121.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2018  18.2N 124.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.07.2018  19.6N 126.4W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.07.2018  21.3N 128.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.07.2018  22.8N 130.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.07.2018  24.4N 132.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.07.2018  25.0N 134.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.07.2018  25.6N 135.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 :  8.6N  31.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.07.2018   9.4N  33.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.07.2018  10.6N  35.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2018  11.4N  39.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.07.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020405