313 WTNT80 EGRR 291606 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.07.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.0N 137.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 29.07.2018 16.0N 137.8W WEAK 00UTC 30.07.2018 16.4N 140.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.07.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 14.7N 174.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 31.07.2018 14.7N 174.8W WEAK 00UTC 01.08.2018 15.2N 175.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.08.2018 16.1N 176.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.08.2018 17.4N 176.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.08.2018 18.7N 178.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.08.2018 19.7N 179.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2018 21.0N 179.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2018 22.0N 180.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.08.2018 23.0N 178.3E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.5N 97.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.08.2018 12.0N 99.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.08.2018 12.5N 101.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.08.2018 13.1N 103.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.08.2018 13.9N 105.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 8.9N 88.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.08.2018 8.9N 88.6W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 291606