511 
WTNT80 EGRR 031609

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 03.08.2018

             HURRICANE HECTOR     ANALYSED POSITION : 14.1N 128.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.08.2018  14.1N 128.4W    STRONG
 00UTC 04.08.2018  14.5N 130.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.08.2018  14.6N 132.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.08.2018  14.3N 135.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2018  14.0N 137.4W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.08.2018  13.9N 139.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2018  14.2N 141.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.08.2018  14.8N 144.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2018  15.2N 147.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.08.2018  15.2N 151.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2018  14.7N 154.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2018  14.3N 157.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2018  14.2N 159.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 37.6N  44.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.08.2018  37.6N  44.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 05.08.2018  37.0N  47.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.08.2018  35.4N  49.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.08.2018        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 12.5N  97.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.08.2018  12.5N  97.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.08.2018  13.0N 100.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.08.2018  13.6N 102.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2018  14.2N 104.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2018  15.0N 106.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2018  16.2N 107.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.08.2018  18.5N 110.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.08.2018  20.8N 114.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2018  19.4N 115.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 16.0N 111.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.08.2018  16.1N 111.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.08.2018  16.6N 113.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.08.2018  16.8N 113.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.08.2018  17.1N 114.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.08.2018  17.3N 115.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 09.08.2018  17.4N 115.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2018  19.4N 115.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 14.2N 128.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.08.2018  14.2N 128.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.08.2018  14.4N 130.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2018  14.0N 133.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.08.2018  13.7N 135.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2018  13.4N 137.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 031609