000 WTNT80 EGRR 090359 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93L ANALYSED POSITION : 10.0N 28.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL932018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2018 10.0N 28.9W WEAK 12UTC 09.10.2018 10.3N 30.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2018 10.6N 31.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 11.7N 33.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 12.5N 34.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 13.3N 34.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2018 14.1N 35.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2018 14.7N 36.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2018 15.0N 38.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2018 15.4N 40.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 33.4N 45.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2018 33.4N 45.0W MODERATE 12UTC 09.10.2018 31.4N 43.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2018 29.4N 43.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 28.0N 43.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2018 27.5N 43.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 28.5N 41.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 30.2N 38.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 31.9N 33.1W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 32.6N 26.6W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 32.8N 21.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.10.2018 31.4N 18.1W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 14.10.2018 29.4N 17.8W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 27.5N 18.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY HURRICANE MICHAEL ANALYSED POSITION : 22.8N 85.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2018 22.8N 85.2W STRONG 12UTC 09.10.2018 24.5N 85.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2018 26.4N 86.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 28.6N 86.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 31.0N 84.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2018 33.3N 82.0W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 35.6N 78.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 38.4N 73.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 41.5N 64.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 45.3N 52.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2018 48.4N 38.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2018 48.7N 25.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 48.3N 17.1W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY HURRICANE SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 128.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2018 15.8N 128.5W STRONG 12UTC 09.10.2018 16.3N 127.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2018 16.9N 126.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2018 17.9N 124.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2018 19.4N 121.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2018 21.4N 118.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2018 23.8N 115.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2018 26.4N 112.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2018 29.4N 107.8W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.10.2018 32.3N 101.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2018 33.9N 96.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2018 34.8N 93.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090359