000 WTNT80 EGRR 130356 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO ANALYSED POSITION : 29.6N 109.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.10.2018 29.6N 109.5W WEAK 12UTC 13.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 34.3N 22.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.10.2018 34.3N 22.0W STRONG 12UTC 13.10.2018 37.2N 14.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.10.2018 41.4N 8.2W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.10.2018 43.9N 4.0W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 15.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION NADINE ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 38.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.10.2018 16.4N 38.5W WEAK 12UTC 13.10.2018 16.0N 41.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.5N 134.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.10.2018 11.5N 135.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.10.2018 12.2N 136.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2018 12.5N 137.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2018 13.0N 139.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 10.9N 114.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.10.2018 10.9N 114.8W WEAK 00UTC 18.10.2018 11.7N 114.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2018 12.0N 113.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2018 12.1N 112.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 15.0N 93.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.10.2018 15.0N 93.3W WEAK 00UTC 18.10.2018 15.8N 95.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2018 16.6N 98.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 17.2N 104.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 18.10.2018 17.2N 104.5W WEAK 12UTC 18.10.2018 17.8N 105.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2018 17.7N 106.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 130356