000 WTNT80 EGRR 171556 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.10.2018 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.7N 92.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP992018 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.10.2018 13.7N 92.0W WEAK 00UTC 18.10.2018 18.3N 100.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 13.2N 94.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 18.10.2018 13.2N 94.5W WEAK 12UTC 18.10.2018 12.7N 94.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2018 13.6N 95.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2018 14.8N 98.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.10.2018 16.2N 101.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2018 16.4N 103.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.10.2018 16.9N 104.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2018 18.6N 105.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.10.2018 20.3N 106.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2018 22.0N 106.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 23.10.2018 22.8N 106.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 10.6N 148.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.10.2018 10.6N 148.2W WEAK 00UTC 21.10.2018 10.8N 149.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2018 11.1N 150.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.10.2018 11.5N 151.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2018 12.0N 152.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2018 12.2N 153.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2018 12.5N 154.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 13.4N 116.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.10.2018 13.3N 116.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.10.2018 13.2N 116.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 171556