000
WTNT80 EGRR 270358

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 27.10.2018

        TROPICAL STORM OSCAR      ANALYSED POSITION : 26.2N  45.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162018

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 27.10.2018  26.2N  45.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 27.10.2018  27.4N  47.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.10.2018  26.1N  51.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2018  24.9N  53.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 29.10.2018  25.2N  56.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.10.2018  26.1N  57.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2018  27.4N  58.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 30.10.2018  29.4N  57.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 31.10.2018  32.9N  55.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 31.10.2018  37.5N  51.8W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.11.2018  43.3N  47.1W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.11.2018  48.6N  41.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2018  49.9N  37.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 16.5N 165.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 30.10.2018  16.5N 165.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 30.10.2018  19.2N 164.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 31.10.2018  23.3N 161.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 31.10.2018  28.0N 158.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.11.2018  34.5N 153.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 01.11.2018  42.4N 148.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.11.2018  50.4N 140.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 13.0N 123.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.11.2018  13.8N 123.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 270358