000 WTNT80 EGRR 241558 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 24.11.2018 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 31.1N 77.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.11.2018 32.0N 73.9W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 25.11.2018 32.4N 64.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.11.2018 34.1N 58.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 26.11.2018 35.7N 50.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.11.2018 38.0N 42.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.11.2018 41.1N 33.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.11.2018 44.5N 25.0W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.11.2018 50.9N 15.2W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.11.2018 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 7.9N 116.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.11.2018 7.9N 116.7W WEAK 12UTC 25.11.2018 8.1N 117.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.11.2018 8.7N 118.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.11.2018 9.5N 118.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.11.2018 9.7N 118.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.11.2018 9.8N 118.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.11.2018 10.0N 118.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.11.2018 10.2N 118.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.11.2018 10.4N 118.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.11.2018 10.5N 118.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.11.2018 10.6N 117.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.11.2018 10.6N 117.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 12.3N 104.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.11.2018 12.3N 104.3W WEAK 12UTC 28.11.2018 13.2N 103.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.11.2018 14.2N 103.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.11.2018 14.8N 102.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.11.2018 15.5N 103.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.11.2018 15.3N 105.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 6.5N 151.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.11.2018 6.5N 151.1W WEAK 12UTC 29.11.2018 6.3N 152.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.11.2018 6.2N 154.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.11.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 241558