883 
WTNT80 EGRR 070355

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.07.2019

        TROPICAL STORM BARBARA    ANALYSED POSITION : 18.4N 141.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.07.2019  18.4N 141.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.07.2019  18.1N 145.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2019  18.0N 148.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2019  18.0N 152.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM COSME      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.6N 116.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP032019

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.07.2019  16.6N 116.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 07.07.2019  17.7N 118.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2019  18.8N 119.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.07.2019  20.0N 120.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2019  20.5N 121.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2019  21.3N 121.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2019        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 36.1N  70.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.07.2019  36.1N  70.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.07.2019  37.3N  64.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2019  38.2N  58.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2019  42.3N  48.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.07.2019  48.6N  44.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2019  51.6N  44.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2019  52.8N  44.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2019  53.2N  44.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 27.7N  84.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.07.2019  27.7N  84.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.07.2019  28.4N  83.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2019  29.5N  82.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 14.1N 101.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.07.2019  14.5N 102.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2019  15.4N 104.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 35.5N  74.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.07.2019  36.7N  71.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 070355